The market moved

+69.0ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Trump say "Fed" or "Powell" during Philippines President events on July 22?

Macro · resolves Jul 22 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 69.0pp shift. Resolution depends on youtu.be — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: youtu.be — https://youtu.be/Jm14BASWNRM?t=197).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.