The market moved

-24.9ppin 24h · now

Will Trump say "Flag" during events with Brazilian president?

Politics · resolves May 7 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 24.9pp shift. Resolution depends on aljazeera.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: aljazeera.com — https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/4/brazils-lula-to-travel-to-us-to-meet-with-trump-later-this-week).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.