The market moved
+28.4ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump say "Friendship" during Gulf Leaders Summit on May 14?
Geopolitics · resolves May 14 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 28.4pp shift. Resolution depends on axios.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: axios.com — https://www.axios.com/2025/05/03/trump-gulf-leaders-summit-saudi-arabia).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.