Will Trump say "Genius" during his AI speech on July 23?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 41.6pp shift. Resolution depends on bloomberg — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: bloomberg — https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-15/trump-set-to-outline-ai-priorities-in-speech-asserting-us-edge).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.