The market moved
+50.9ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump say “God / Hell” 10+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?
Politics · resolves Jul 4 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 50.9pp shift. Resolution depends on cbs2iowa.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: cbs2iowa.com — https://cbs2iowa.com/news/local/president-donald-trump-coming-to-iowa-next-month-ahead-of-fourth-of-july-holiday-iowa-state-fairgrounds-americas-birthday-cbs-news-white-house.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.