The market moved

+24.0ppin 24h · now 73¢

Will Trump say "Gold" or "Silver" during Friday roundtable?

Politics · resolves Aug 7 · vol $342.79

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 73¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 24.0pp shift. Resolution depends on x.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: x.com — https://x.com/ErnestScheyder/status/2084315810361733183).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 4.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.