The market moved

+69.0ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Trump say "Green new scam" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?

Geopolitics · resolves Jul 15 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 69.0pp shift. Resolution depends on cmu.edu — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: cmu.edu — https://www.cmu.edu/student-affairs/messages-from-the-dean/pa-energy-and-innovation-summit.html.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.