The market moved

-42.4ppin 24h · now

Will Trump say "Hamas" during events with South African President on May 21?

Geopolitics · resolves May 21 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 42.4pp shift. Resolution depends on white house — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: White House — https://dirco.gov.za/president-ramaphosa-to-undertake-working-visit-to-the-united-states-of-america/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.