The market moved

-28.4ppin 24h · now

Will Trump say "Hog" during Iowa speech?

Politics · resolves Jan 27 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 28.4pp shift. Resolution depends on desmoinesregister.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: desmoinesregister.com — https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2026/01/21/donald-trump-iowa-for-speech-economy/88280760007/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.