The market moved
+20.5ppin 24h · now 78¢
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Michigan remarks?
Politics · resolves Jul 27 · vol $291.29
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 78¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 20.5pp shift. Resolution depends on detroitnews.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: detroitnews.com — https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2026/07/23/trump-michigan-economic-speech-gordie-howe-bridge-opening/91023769007/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 45.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.