The market moved
+4.5ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump say "Hottest" during the America Business Forum on November 5?
Politics · resolves Nov 5 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on refreshmiami.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: refreshmiami.com — https://refreshmiami.com/news/president-trump-to-speak-at-upcoming-america-business-forum/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.