The market moved

+13.0ppin 24h · now 59¢

Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during Tribute to America Rally?

Politics · resolves Jul 4 · vol $1.3K

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 59¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 13.0pp shift. Resolution depends on @realdonaldtrump — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: @realDonaldTrump — https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116817366986980714).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 41.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.