The market moved
-17.5ppin 24h · now 26¢
Will Trump say "Hussein" during Tribute to America Rally?
Politics · resolves Jul 4 · vol $272.25
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 26¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 17.5pp shift. Resolution depends on @realdonaldtrump — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: @realDonaldTrump — https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116817366986980714).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.