The market moved

+11.5ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Trump say "illegal alien" during Wisconsin rally?

Politics · resolves Oct 6 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 11.5pp shift. Resolution depends on event.donaldjtrump.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: event.donaldjtrump.com — https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-juneau-wisconsin).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.