The market moved

+33.0ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Trump say "India" or "Pakistan" during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?

Politics · resolves Aug 8 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 33.0pp shift. Resolution depends on aljazeera.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: aljazeera.com — https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/8/6/trump-to-host-armenia-azerbaijan-leaders-for-peace-talks-report).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.