The market moved
-15.4ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Trump say "Inflation" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?
Macro · resolves Dec 23 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 15.4pp shift. Resolution depends on npr.org — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: npr.org — https://www.npr.org/2025/12/05/nx-s1-5607173/kennedy-center-honors-trump).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.