The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 2¢
Will Trump say "Insurance" during announcement on Freedom Haulers?
Politics · resolves Jul 30 · vol $360.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 2¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on forth.news — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: forth.news — https://www.forth.news/whpool/CdXPtw1wPjpSrhnuunyz9).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
- Market resolves in 1.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.