The market moved

-15.5ppin 24h · now 25¢

Will Trump say "Interest rate" this week?

Politics · resolves Jun 15 · vol $44.67

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 25¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 15.5pp shift. Directional flow is consistent with new information being priced in; the underlying source isn't tagged in the market metadata.

What to verify

  • No resolution source was tagged in the market metadata — read the question text on Polymarket carefully before acting.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 12.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.