Will Trump say "Iowa" during Pennsylvania events?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 61¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 16.0pp shift. Resolution depends on x.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: x.com — https://x.com/RepMeuser/status/2067728952404115773).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 4.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.