Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 35¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 18.0pp shift. Resolution depends on white house — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: White House — https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 19.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.