Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during Friday roundtable?

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 31¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on x.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: x.com — https://x.com/ErnestScheyder/status/2084315810361733183).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 16.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.