Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 17¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 14.5pp shift. Resolution depends on @realdonaldtrump — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: @realDonaldTrump — https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 29.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.