The market moved
+48.9ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" 7+ times during Saudi PM events on November 18?
Politics · resolves Nov 18 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 48.9pp shift. Resolution depends on reuters — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: reuters — https://www.reuters.com/world/us/saudi-crown-prince-bin-salman-will-visit-trump-november-18-white-house-official-2025-11-03/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.