The market moved

+49.5ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during the Fox News interview on July 12?

Politics · resolves Jul 12 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 49.5pp shift. Resolution depends on what has aired up to that point — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: what has aired up to that point — https://x.com/FoxNews/status/1943457173608030374.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.