The market moved

+34.4ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 7+ times during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?

Politics · resolves Apr 29 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 34.4pp shift. Resolution depends on yahoo.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: yahoo.com — https://www.yahoo.com/news/trump-mark-100th-day-office-031557423.html.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.