The market moved

-5.5ppin 24h · now

Will Trump say "Kiev" during NewsNation interview?

Politics · resolves Jan 20 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.5pp shift. Resolution depends on what has aired up to that point — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: what has aired up to that point — https://x.com/NewsNation/status/2012890752905363662.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.