The market moved
-4.5ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Trump say "Madame" or "Madam" or "Mademoiselle" during G7 events?
Geopolitics · resolves Jun 18 · vol $64.38
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on rollcall.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: rollcall.com — https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.