The market moved
+57.6ppin 24h · now 97¢
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Tele-Rally?
Politics · resolves Aug 10 · vol $1.1K
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 97¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 57.6pp shift. Resolution depends on x.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: x.com — https://x.com/DarlineGrahamSC/status/2085823198180864136).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.