The market moved
-24.4ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Trump say "Mars" at The Villages on May 1?
Politics · resolves May 1 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 24.4pp shift. Resolution depends on dailycommercial.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: dailycommercial.com — https://www.dailycommercial.com/story/news/local/2026/04/28/president-trump-set-to-visit-the-villages-in-florida-on-may-1-2026/89835008007/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.