The market moved
-0.1ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump say "Medal" at Fort Bragg on Friday?
Politics · resolves Feb 13 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 100¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on rollcall.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: rollcall.com — https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.