The market moved

+27.8ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Trump say "Military" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?

Politics · resolves Jul 28 · vol $2.8K

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 27.8pp shift. Resolution depends on wng.org — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wng.org — https://wng.org/sift/graham-funeral-1784738206).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 0.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.