The market moved
+59.6ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump say "Million", "Billion", or "Trillion" 15+ times during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?
Geopolitics · resolves Jul 15 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 59.6pp shift. Resolution depends on cmu.edu — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: cmu.edu — https://www.cmu.edu/student-affairs/messages-from-the-dean/pa-energy-and-innovation-summit.html.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.