The market moved
+10.8ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump say "missile defense shield" during Michigan rally on Nov 4?
Politics · resolves Nov 4 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 10.8pp shift. Resolution depends on event.donaldjtrump.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: event.donaldjtrump.com — https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/6164312419-dfsasfs-66165494-86821).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.