The market moved

+68.5ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Trump say "Movie star" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

Politics · resolves Apr 6 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 68.5pp shift. Resolution depends on white house — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: White House — https://www.whitehouse.gov/white-house-easter-egg-roll/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.