The market moved

+10.0ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Trump say "NATO" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?

Geopolitics · resolves Oct 9 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 10.0pp shift. Resolution depends on nbcnews.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: nbcnews.com — https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/live-blog/trump-shutdown-national-guard-portland-israel-hamas-live-updates-rcna235637/rcrd90100).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.