The market moved

-39.0ppin 24h · now

Will Trump say "NATO" during Honduran President events?

Geopolitics · resolves Feb 7 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 39.0pp shift. Resolution depends on white house — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: White House — https://www.aa.com.tr/en/americas/honduras-new-president-to-meet-with-trump/3818391).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.