The market moved
+2.0ppin 24h · now 75¢
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during events in Rockland County?
Geopolitics · resolves May 22 · vol $520.14
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 75¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on lohud.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: lohud.com — https://www.lohud.com/story/news/2026/05/20/trumps-rockland-county-visit-what-to-know/90173651007/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.