The market moved
-58.1ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Trump say "nuclear" during NBC interview?
Geopolitics · resolves Dec 8 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 58.1pp shift. Resolution depends on what has aired up to that point — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: what has aired up to that point — https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.