The market moved
+2.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump say "Nuclear" or "B-2" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?
Geopolitics · resolves Nov 25 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on forth.news — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: forth.news — https://www.forth.news/whpool/CVMX5t6ekZQcMp9QA8xQP).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.