The market moved
-31.9ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will Trump say "Obama" during Bret Baier interview?
Politics · resolves May 15 · vol $3.2K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 31.9pp shift. Resolution depends on sg.finance.yahoo.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: sg.finance.yahoo.com — https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.