The market moved
+37.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump say "Oil" at Defense and Innovation Summit?
Geopolitics · resolves Jul 15 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 37.0pp shift. Resolution depends on politicspa.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: politicspa.com — https://politicspa.com/trump-to-headline-mccormicks-defense-and-innovation-summit-in-july/149365/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.