The market moved

-3.5ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Trump say "Peace" 5+ times during Egypt summit?

Geopolitics · resolves Oct 13 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 100¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on what has aired up to that point — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: what has aired up to that point — https://www.axios.com/2025/10/10/trump-gaza-summit-egypt-world-leaders.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.