The market moved
-33.0ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Trump say "Pelé" during events with Brazilian president?
Politics · resolves May 7 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 33.0pp shift. Resolution depends on aljazeera.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: aljazeera.com — https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/4/brazils-lula-to-travel-to-us-to-meet-with-trump-later-this-week).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.