The market moved

+61.5ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Trump say "Percent" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?

Politics · resolves Sep 3 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 61.5pp shift. Resolution depends on x.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: x.com — https://x.com/WojPawelczyk/status/1959299473504616841).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.