Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on reuters — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: reuters — https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/congo-rwanda-presidents-sign-peace-deal-washington-next-week-sources-say-2025-11-28/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.