The market moved

-50.4ppin 24h · now

Will Trump say "Rwanda" or "Congo" 12+ times during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?

Politics · resolves Dec 4 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 50.4pp shift. Resolution depends on reuters — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: reuters — https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/congo-rwanda-presidents-sign-peace-deal-washington-next-week-sources-say-2025-11-28/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.