The market moved

+34.0ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?

Geopolitics · resolves May 15 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 34.0pp shift. Resolution depends on cnn.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: cnn.com — https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/04/china/china-us-talks-iran-intl-hnk).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.