Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during Australia PM events on October 20?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 48.0pp shift. Resolution depends on reuters — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: reuters — https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/trump-meet-australias-pm-washington-oct-20-white-house-official-says-2025-09-23/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.