Will Trump say "Stage" during UFC 250?

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 38¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the entirety of the ufc freedom 250 broadcast, from the moment the stream begins to the moment it ends, including all pr — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: the entirety of the UFC Freedom 250 broadcast, from the moment the stream begins to the moment it ends, including all pr.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 13.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.