The market moved
+37.0ppin 24h · now 81¢
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Tribute to America Rally?
Macro · resolves Jul 4 · vol $97.40
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 81¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 37.0pp shift. Resolution depends on @realdonaldtrump — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: @realDonaldTrump — https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116817366986980714).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.